What Is the Collateral Actually Worth?
The AI build is often compared to the telecom boom of 1998–2002. But the biggest lesson from that era may not be about demand forecasts. It is about what happens when long-lived assets are financed with money that comes due much sooner. Telecom companies spent heavily on fiber that ultimately proved enormously valuable. The problem was timing. Global Crossing entered bankruptcy with $22.44 billion in book assets and $12.39 billion in debt. Its fiber could last 25 years, but its financing couldn't wait that long. The eventual value of those networks didn't save the original equity holders or creditors. Much of that value went to whoever bought the assets cheaply after the balance sheets broke. The second piece in this 3-part series looks at today's AI infrastructure build through that lens: if expectations disappoint, what is all that capital expenditure actually worth, who owns the collateral, and does the financing last long enough for the assets to prove their value?






